Y Factors 2018: Patriots at Steelers

-by DNOMN8R314

A little story for the Christmas season. Last year, I took part in the Reddit Secret Santa exchange for the first time. When given my recipient’s details, I saw he is a Steelers fan and he loves cooking. Combining these, I found a set of knives designed with the Steelers logo (here’s a link to the Patriots equivalent, currently out of stock on the same website) and bought them for him. My thanks for putting Christmas above team? FansEdge (the site) keeps sending me coupon offers on Steelers merchandise. A thoroughly wonderful Christmas present. Let’s hope the Patriots can deliver a better one this week.

Not my Fort, eh: If you didn’t remember that L.J. Fort was a Patriot for two weeks in August 2015, you’re surely not the only one. In his seventh season in the NFL and his fourth in Pittsburgh, Fort has gone from a positionless special teamer to an athletic do-it-all inside linebacker, becoming a starter and four-down player in the middle of the Steelers’ defense. Over the 2018 season, the Patriots have relied heavily on running backs Sony Michel and James White, and Fort has developed the instincts and ability to potentially cause problems for both of them. However New England intends to advance the football, they’re going to have to keep an eye on Fort and prevent him from being a disruption.

The Ryan game: After two trades in four months, Ryan Switzer, better known as “the white slot receiver and returner that everyone thought the Patriots were going to draft last year,” has found a home in Pittsburgh. Not only has he become their all-around return man (and we’ve already talked about the Patriots coverage units enough), he’s also their third-most prolific wide receiver, with 30 catches for 224 yards and a score. New England has had a strong secondary in 2018, but Jason McCourty (who has taken over Jonathan Jones’ slot role in three-receiver sets) had an outlier of a poor game in Miami, and the Steelers might look to capitalize on that. Although Antonio Brown, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and James Conner are the triumvirate that runs the Pittsburgh offense, it may be worth keeping an eye on Switzer, who has the big-play potential to cut a team down. (NOTE: The Steelers activated slot receiver Eli Rogers after I wrote this paragraph.)

Holly, go, nightly: One Patriot who has had regular success against Pittsburgh is Rob Gronkowski, who in six games against the Steelers has totaled 39 receptions, 664 yards, and eight touchdowns. While Gronkowski’s performance against Miami was encouraging, it also suggests the possibility for Jacob Hollister to make a mark on the field. Hollister has played mostly in goal line sets or in games where Gronkowski has been inactive, but the Patriots’ tight end success against the Steelers brings the possibility for him to spell Gronkowski or play alongside him in two-TE sets, which have been mostly absent from the Patriots’ offensive playbook. Of course, Gronkowski should play a significant majority of snaps, and Hollister has now gone nearly two seasons without establishing a regular role in the offense, but the possibility cannot be dismissed this week. After all, a bit of Holly always makes a nice Christmas decoration.

TUMS-O-METER Prediction:
And so, here we are. In a span of several seconds, last week’s “hat and T-shirt game” turned into a disaster. And this week can be a hat and T-shirt game as well, but now simply winning does not clinch the division unless MIA loses or ties. So we’re on to the Steelers, who are also having an up-and-down year. Both the Pats and PIT lead their divisions, but PIT is in a more precarious position, and thus has more on the line. Add that to this being a road game and the Pats have their work cut out for them to avoid further disasters. They need to win to: 1) stay in the hunt for a bye, and 2) get to .500 on the road. They do have a relatively healthy group while PIT is a bit more banged up. But the odds may work against the Pats in that at some point, their dominance over PIT is bound to hit a glitch. As they say, past performnce does not guarantee future success. Therefore, this game has the making of another need for 2 cases.

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Deadsmack #NotDoneDNOMN8R314redemption50Calipatsfan3473MasterAndCommander Recent comment authors
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

3-4 D returns today?

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

3 DL/DE inactive: Keionta Davis, Rivers and Clayborn

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Interesting, all DT are active, including Kamalu

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

#1 and #5 seed of the AFC are almost clinched: #1 Chiefs and #5 Chargers.
Pats and Texans will fight most likely for #2 and #3 seed
Ravens and Steelers will fight for the #4 (AFC North title)
#6 seed will be a fight between Ravens, Steelers, Titans and Colts

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Most likely the SNF game of week 17 will be Colts @ Titans

redemptionCR
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Greetings and Salutations Pats fans. Been a rocky couple weeks. Be nice to see a solid performance today to cheer us up a bit

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Hola CR 🙂

redemptionCR
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redemptionCR

boa tarde amigo

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

🙂

Merry Christmas to you and your family
How are you?

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Steelers are in real touble now

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

Why?

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

if they lose, Titans get ahead of them and so do the Colts if they win today

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

If the regular season ends with the next seeding:

1- Chiefs
2- Pats
3- Texans
4- Ravens

and if Texans and Ravens win their WC playoff games, then we will have the next divisional playoffs:

Ravens @ Chiefs
Texans @ Patriots

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Ravens winning is not really bad news … if Pats get 2nd seed and Saints beat the Steelers (not unlkely that scenario)

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Even though the Ravens played last night, we still don’t get the Pat’s today. Our 1 PM game is HOU vs. PHI.

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Let’s go Pats and Eagles!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Where is everybody?

IT’S GAME DAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Holidays..

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

Making more coffee.

Giacomino da Recanati
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Giacomino da Recanati

Stats aligning with eye evidence (from Reiss):
3. Rob Gronkowski’s yards after catch are significantly down this season, with ESPN’s Stats & Information noting that Gronkowski’s average of 3.9 yards after the catch ranks 23rd in the NFL among eligible tight ends. For comparison, two years ago, he was averaging 9.2 yards after the catch, which was an NFL-best among tight ends.

MrScratch
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MrScratch

Enjoy his last few games in NE. It was a hell of a ride, there’ll never be another like him.

MrLucky
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MrLucky

@AdamSchefter

Patriots had round-the-clock security and help for Josh Gordon and he still found a way to elude it during New England’s bye week, per sources.

So disappointing. True addict.

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Question is, when did the Pat’s find out?

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

DNOM is running a bit late with the new Y-factors. Hope he’s ok.

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Offense has to wake up today. defense has to play smart.

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

And Josh needs to get his head out of his ass calling plays.

itsBradyBaby
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itsBradyBaby

SO WHAT HAPPENS IF BOTH KANSAS AND HOUSTON LOSE TODAY AND WE WIN ?

bring
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bring

We hold tiebreaker over both, so if same record we get the nod

itsBradyBaby
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itsBradyBaby

WELL KANSAS WILL HAVE TO LOSE LAST GAME AND WE WIN OUT FOR THAT TO HAPPEN.

bring
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bring

You don’t say….

jdlboot14
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jdlboot14

Interesting thing if Texans do win and Pats win out – we still get the #3 seed. It’d potentially be the easier road, playing Colts at home, then going to Texans. And the chances of Chargers or Ravens beating Chiefs is legit. We could still host the AFCCG… it’s a lot of pixy dust though.

bring
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bring

Optimal for us (assuming KC 1) is NE 2, Hou 3, Bal 4 (I think)

jdlboot14
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jdlboot14

Big fans of the Eagles today. But more concerned with how Pats look. Gotta take care of business.

bring
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bring

Hogan needs to step up today – guessing he will (considering the opponent)

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

And to think if Flacco didn’t get hurt, the PoeBirds may not be in the playoff race.

bring
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bring

Not sure if the seedings line up, but if they end up playing Texans in AFC Champ, that would be confirmation that defense is still important, and having a dynamic young QB isn’t a killer.

MrScratch
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MrScratch

Not sure how much his RB playing QB has really helped vs what that defense has done.

itsBradyBaby
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itsBradyBaby

GAME DAY LETS GO PATS,BELIEVE.

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

GAME DAY!!!!

If the Pats win or MIA loses, Pats get the division.

If the Pats win and TEX loses, they are back in the #2 seed.

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

WAKE UP!!!!!

except for cfpats4. he’s already posting.

cfpats4
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Reiss:
With the Patriots losing Josh Gordon to an indefinite NFL suspension on Thursday, it marked the team’s 26th transaction involving a wide receiver since training camp

After trading Brandin Cooks, and then having Danny Amendola depart in free agency, did Bill Belichick and director of player personnel Nick Caserio miscalculate that they could find suitable replacements?

cfpats4
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cfpats4

Yes
The team has a long history of poor drafting at the wr position
wr and te will need to be drafted early in the next draft

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

and linebacker

BoSoxJim
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BoSoxJim

New England Patriots: Stephon Gillmore has [14] pass breakups this season, which is two more than any other cornerback.
https://www.profootballfocus.com/news/pro-stats-to-know-for-all-32-nfl-teams-entering-week-16

NOTE: Article incorrectly states that Gilmore has 13 PBUs. He has 14, which is 2 more than 2nd place.

BoSoxJim
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Buffalo Bills: Jerry Hughes has produced 24 fourth-quarter pressures this year, which is the most for all edge defenders. What makes it more remarkable is the fact that he’s only had 85 fourth-quarter pass rushes.

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MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Well, not a good night for the Pat’s. Would have been better if both the Ravens and Titans lost.

MattDog #AndyIsabellaToThePats
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MattDog #AndyIsabellaToThePats

We’re on to…..DOOM!!!!

BoSoxJim
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BoSoxJim

If anyone wanted another parallel to the 2009 season, the Pats could host the WC round. Their opponent could end up being the Ravens. Oh joy!

rking88
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rking88

but at least ray rice can’t knock us out with one punch… i mean run…

BoSoxJim
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BoSoxJim

Tom Brady 2018 PFF Grades:

Weeks 1-4: 76.8 (20 out of 33 QBs with a minimum of 75 dropbacks)
Weeks 5-15: 90.3 (5 out of 32 QBs with a minimum of 175 dropbacks)

Top 5 from weeks 5-15

1. Brees 92.3
2. Rivers 91.0
3. Luck 90.7
4. Mahomes 90.6
5. Brady 90.3

Brady was 3rd going into the Steelers game over weeks 5-14 (got a 62.2 game grade)

dfwpatsfan
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dfwpatsfan

How bad is Flacco to have been benched for Jackson?? Yeesh.

dp73
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Ravens came to play

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

1st play, 1st INT by Rivers

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Let’s go Chargers?

hugo #FreeBoney
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hugo #FreeBoney

I’m heading out. Enjoy the night game!

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

Have a nice evening Hugo- new girlfriend?

SamiG
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SamiG

Im out guys. Good night.

BoSoxJim
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BoSoxJim

Malcolm Butler PFF 2018 Game Grades (not including today’s game of course):

Weeks 1-12: 52.0 (102 out of 115 CBs with a minimum of 200 snaps)
Weeks 13-15: 88.6 (2 out of 97 CBs with a minimum of 75 snaps)

Overall: 64.0 (65 out of 108 CBs with a minimum of 300 snaps)

BoSoxJim
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BoSoxJim

Stephon Gilmore

Overall: 90.2 (1 out of 108 CBs)

BoSoxJim
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BoSoxJim

JMac: 78.4 (t-13 out of 108)
Jonathan Jones: 65.0 (58 out of 108)

JC Jackson doesn’t qualify yet, but has an overall grade of 67.2

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

Should the Pats have kept Michael Floyd?

itsBradyBaby
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itsBradyBaby

Oh boy they should have kept Dobson too.

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

No Dobson.

itsBradyBaby
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itsBradyBaby

Hmm, all of the sudden the annalylist are saying Butler game is coming around, the NFL is definitely a week to week league, lmao.

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Analysts drink too much Gordon 🙂

SamiG
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SamiG

Outrageous way to spell analyst. I like it.

itsBradyBaby
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itsBradyBaby

Oops too late to edit

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Butller pick 6 to close the game

dp73
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dp73

At a boy Malcom.

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

almost another INT

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

Butler with the pick 6.

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

Steaks on the grill tonight- yummy!!

dp73
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dp73

Take the red eye and come to the game. lol

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

Wish I could dp!!

hugo #FreeBoney
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hugo #FreeBoney

Yes! I have Byard in the FF final

SamiG
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SamiG

Just when I was about to comment that despite the jokes, I think the QBs have been playing pretty good…..

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

INT- looks like the Titans may win.

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

🙁

itsBradyBaby
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itsBradyBaby

Just waiting for season to end for skins so I collect my 200 bucks from my buddy I told they wouldn’t make playoffs even if Smith was playing.

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

they are gonna win today

dp73
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dp73

Visit the Hall in Foxboro today. lol

SamiG
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SamiG

I went last month. It was awesome, and surprisingly very cheap.

dp73
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dp73

One perk as a season ticketholder is a get 2 free tickets a year to the Patriots HOF.

SamiG
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SamiG

It was great. Im a “Big Brother” and went with my “little” for his 9th birthday. He had a great time.

dp73
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dp73

That is a good thing you are doing.

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

That’s wonderful Sami!!

Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot
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Deadsmack #EverythingWeGot

Good drive

Calipatsfan3473
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Calipatsfan3473

I would rather Washington win.

dp73
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dp73

Good game.

MrScratch
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MrScratch

Gabbert becomes this year’s Foles.

hugo #FreeBoney
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hugo #FreeBoney

I have a different weak QB team in mind that I honestly believe is going the whole way. Chicago.