Mock Draft Contest Strategies

-by DNOMN8R314

The draft approaches.

Aside from the general NFL hubbub, this also means the deadline for the 2018 NEPFF Patriots mock contest is also coming nearer. With only three entries submitted at the time I write this, it’s been suggested (thank you evaldes) that I write a reminder post with strategies. I could do that… or I could copy the one I wrote two years ago and forgot about.

Nah. I won’t do a straight copy-paste today. So here’s a slightly updated reminder and strategies post.

Rules Recap

  • Send me the 11 players you think it most likely that Bill Belichick will pick.
  • Send the list in order of likelihood you think the Patriots will draft them.
  • Also include which round you think each player will be drafted in. (You may include UDFAs among your 11 if you wish.)
  • Send your list to contests@patsfootballfans.com and include the list in the body of the email.
  • The deadline is the start of the first round of the draft: Thursday, April 26 at 8 PM Eastern time.

Scoring Recap

  • If the 1st player on your list (your most likely pick) is drafted by the Patriots, you receive 15 points.
  • 2nd: 12
  • 3rd: 10
  • 4th: 8
  • 5th: 7
  • 6th: 6
  • 7th: 5
  • 8th: 4
  • 9th: 3
  • 10th: 2
  • 11th: 1

If you get the round for any Pats pick correctly, you get 3 extra points.

If a projected draft pick becomes a Pats UDFA or a projected UDFA becomes a draft pick, you only get half of the points for that slot, rounded up.

Bonus Points! Recap

This year, you may also send in:

  • A list of three first-rounders you think the Patriots will draft. Each is worth 5 points if the Patriots do take them in the first, or 2 points if New England takes them later.
  • A list of three quarterbacks you think the Patriots will draft (or sign as a UDFA). Each is worth 3 points.

Potential Strategies

As far as I can tell, there are two main strategies to selecting your group of 11 players:

  • Scatter your picks widely throughout rounds and positions. This gives more chances of hitting players in rounds in which the Patriots currently do not have a selection, but could result in a wider chance of misses if the team focuses on only a few rounds or positions.
  • Focus heavily on a few rounds or positions – even on just one. This gives a higher chance of hitting a player at that particular round or position, but ensures not hitting at others.

There’s also two different strategies for the two bonus points possibilities:

  • Put the same players in your list of 11 in your bonus lists. This could result in a big points boom on a correct selection, but results in fewer chances of a hit.
  • Put different players from your list of 11 in your bonus lists. While this results in more chances of getting a pick right, it also removes the chance of getting huge points with one player.

We’re almost there. Have fun! (And please, try not to go too insane.)

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MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

Don’t worry Pats fans. Onn more day until our dreams come true:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-qkf0fLU2Ao

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Wow. Surprised they start on Saturday

asparker24
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asparker24

RB at pick 40whatever?

Jonc77
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Jonc77

special teams

MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

Toronto 2 – Chivas 1…tied 3-3 on aggregate. What a great game. I am rooting for Toronto for the rest of the night!!!!

MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

I don’t know if you guys are familiar with this but it’s a great story. Patton Oswalt’s late wife helps catch a killer: https://www.boston.com/news/national-news/2018/04/25/patton-oswalt-michelle-mcnamara-golden-state-killer

Shaggy
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Shaggy

Lightning a tough match up. Bruins have the talent to win the series but they will have to play more consistently if they want to pull it off

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Rask needs to buck up.

Shaggy
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Shaggy

true but let’s not let the back line off the hook. They had some maddening lack of focus and give aways tonight and this series overall

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

Sleep time, see ya guys

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

I guess you could say the Brooooons won the third.

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

and the first

Dingo
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Dingo

Pastrnuts: 4 goals, 7 assists v. Toronto.

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Tonight’s final score:

City of Boston 2. City of Toronto 0

Both the Brooons and the Sawx had come from behind wins.

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

But Raptors won

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Who cares?

Shaggy
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Shaggy

That Drake guy

MrLucky
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MrLucky

But that doesn’t count because Toronto doesn’t know they have an NBA team.

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

LOL

MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

GO TORONTO FC!!!!

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

OKC offense is so weak

asparker24
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asparker24

Is this draft class like exceedingly dull or am I just too busy to pay attention?

asparker24
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asparker24

Seriously, the past I got all juiced up by players like Odell Beckham, Devin Smith (haha), Maxx Williams (haha), David Johnson, etc. I had my favorites and all that. I have none of that this year.

SonySoxJim
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SonySoxJim

I think there’s a good chunk of defensive players that could fall to us, due to all the QB hype.

MrLucky
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MrLucky

I’m much more invested in this draft than the last few because of the Pats actually picking in the first round, but I’m still gonna laugh my ass off when they take someone I’ve never heard of.

Shaggy
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Shaggy

Thankfully, that usually happens in the 2nd and 3rd round, not the 1st.

MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

I think I will buy a DeBrusk Jersey soon!

MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

I fucking love this team….please ignore my comment earlier about Tuukka…he tries hard. I love the B’s!!!!! 🙂

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

Rask still sucks

MrLucky
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MrLucky

Rask showed up in the third after the Bruins D clamped down.

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

Jazz want to close the deal today at OKC, 15 point lead

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

And now…will those 2 losses vs. FLA in the last week of the regular season be a factor in the TB series. No home ice.

MrLucky
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MrLucky

In the Spring, the Leafs fall!!! lmao Jack Edwards

asparker24
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asparker24

So, been a while. Who are the draft darlings this year?

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

Is there a draft? 🙂

asparker24
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asparker24

Haha, this is maybe the least attention I’ve ever paid leading up to it

asparker24
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asparker24

I’ll give you a Chubb…. Wait…. No

asparker24
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asparker24

Also, sup Texas

SonySoxJim
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SonySoxJim

No trading up for a QB.

If there’s any trading up, it should be because Bradley Chubb is in range.

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

why they didn’t play like that in the 2nd period?

NewEnglandBlight
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NewEnglandBlight

how come they aren’t showing the crowd watching the game in Toronto!?

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

comment image

asparker24
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asparker24

Sup y’all

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

UDD!!!!!!!!

asparker24
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asparker24

Yoooooo

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Now will they have enough energy for TB.

NewEnglandBlight
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NewEnglandBlight

gooooooddd gammeeee

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

GAME OVAH!!!!!!!

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

DINGGGGGGGOOOOOOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAAAAAALLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

The dagger

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

2 minutes to play

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

tic tac tic tac

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

ref on ice 🙂

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

TD Garden is loud!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

It’s no Fenerbahce…but yeah! 🙂

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

Great assist by Bergeron

MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

PASTA MAN!!!!

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

DINGGGGGGGGGGGGGGOOOOOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAALLLLLLLLLLLLL

6-4

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

LIVING ON A PRAYER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

BON JOVI, GOAT!!!!

Shaggy
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Shaggy

FLAG

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

FLAG!!!! On the FLAG!!

Shaggy
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Shaggy

Have you no soul?

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Lol

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

Fans at TD Garden >>>>>> Fans at Gillette Stadium

NewEnglandBlight
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NewEnglandBlight

DEBRUSKETT!!

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

Is Rask playing for the Leafs now? 🙂

MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

I FUCKING LOVE DEBRUSK!!!!!!

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

5-4 lead

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Don’t let it be Rene’s last game!!!!!!!

rking88
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rking88

WOW DEBRUSK!!!

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

goooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaalllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll

MattDog #FreeBoney
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MattDog #FreeBoney

Win the third, Bruins!!! WIn it for Bajuhn Snevets!!!!

rking88
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rking88

nash… come on man… we had a penalty… now its a wash

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

GOAAAAAAAAAAAALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

rking88
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rking88

lets goooo… *dont give up an easy one* *dont give up an easy one* *dont give up an easy one* ooooooo!!!

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

Lebron gives the game to Cleveland with a buzzer beater

Shaggy
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Shaggy

Incredible. Blocked Oladipo on the other end and then buries the game winning 3

rondo723
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rondo723

it was a goaltend lol refs these days man

rondo723
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rondo723

Not that it necessarily would have mattered because Lebron hit a 3, but still…what’s the point of review within 2 minutes

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

95-95 in Cleveland, 33 seconds to play

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

2 minutes to play, 2 point game in Cleveland

MasterAndCommander
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MasterAndCommander

Sooooooooo……offseason search for Rasks’ replacement?

Shaggy
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Shaggy

Whats Rask’s contract situation?

Deadsmack #NotDone
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Deadsmack #NotDone

Just trade him to the Browns 🙂